ESPN Football Power Index - 2018
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
Through:
Football Power IndexTeam Efficiencies
2018 Football Power Index
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
1 Rutgers, Big Ten 1-5 1.3 - 10.7 0.0 0.0 1 -14.2
2 Baylor, Big 12 4-2 5.5 - 6.5 0.0 0.1 2 2.3
3 West Virginia, Big 12 5-0 8.8 - 2.7 1.9 24.4 3 14.6
4 Oklahoma State, Big 12 4-2 7.2 - 4.8 0.6 1.4 4 11.9
5 FSU, ACC 3-3 4.9 - 7.1 0.0 0.0 5 3.9
6 Kansas, Big 12 2-4 3.2 - 8.8 0.0 0.0 6 -3.3
7 Pitt, ACC 3-3 4.3 - 7.7 0.0 0.0 7 -2.4
8 Indiana, Big Ten 4-2 5.9 - 6.1 0.0 0.0 8 2.2
9 Georgia, SEC 6-0 11.4 - 1.4 15.5 34.5 9 25.7
10 Oregon St, Pac-12 1-5 1.6 - 10.4 0.0 0.0 10 -10.4
11 Purdue, Big Ten 2-3 4.8 - 7.2 0.0 0.2 11 5.3
12 Kansas State, Big 12 2-4 3.6 - 8.4 0.0 0.0 12 -0.8
13 Louisville, ACC 2-4 3.1 - 8.9 0.0 0.0 13 -5.9
14 Texas A&M, SEC 4-2 7.5 - 4.5 2.4 0.1 14 13.4
15 Michigan, Big Ten 5-1 9.3 - 2.9 5.1 13.1 15 20.9
16 Georgia Tech, ACC 3-3 5.8 - 6.2 0.1 0.4 16 7.9
17 UCLA, Pac-12 0-5 1.8 - 10.2 0.0 0.0 17 -1.4
18 Miami, ACC 5-1 9.3 - 3.2 2.6 12.4 18 14.9
19 Ole Miss, SEC 4-2 6.6 - 5.4 0.3 0.0 19 5.2
20 Texas, Big 12 5-1 9.2 - 3.4 2.5 27.2 20 13.5
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
21 Arizona State, Pac-12 3-3 6.0 - 6.0 0.5 1.5 21 7.5
22 Boston College, ACC 4-2 6.9 - 5.1 0.3 0.3 22 7.6
23 TCU, Big 12 3-2 6.7 - 5.3 0.2 2.0 23 9.3
24 LSU, SEC 5-1 8.3 - 3.7 0.3 0.7 24 14.2
25 Washington St, Pac-12 5-1 8.5 - 3.6 1.4 4.1 25 10.4
26 Oklahoma, Big 12 5-1 10.1 - 2.5 15.1 38.9 26 20.5
27 Alabama, SEC 6-0 12.1 - 0.9 35.3 61.3 27 28.5
28 Texas Tech, Big 12 3-2 7.3 - 4.8 0.9 5.5 28 11.8
29 Tennessee, SEC 2-3 4.3 - 7.7 0.0 0.0 29 0.6
30 Arizona, Pac-12 3-3 5.3 - 6.7 0.0 0.8 30 2.6
31 Colorado, Pac-12 5-0 8.0 - 4.1 0.0 3.1 31 4.7
32 Illinois, Big Ten 3-2 4.6 - 7.4 0.0 0.0 32 -4.2
33 Mich. St., Big Ten 3-2 6.7 - 5.3 0.1 0.3 33 11.4
34 Ohio State, Big Ten 6-0 11.9 - 0.9 37.6 62.7 34 26.0
35 Auburn, SEC 4-2 7.5 - 4.5 0.6 0.1 35 14.4
36 Penn State, Big Ten 4-1 9.9 - 2.2 23.2 4.0 36 24.1
37 Clemson, ACC 6-0 12.2 - 0.7 46.5 76.1 37 25.6
38 Vanderbilt, SEC 3-3 5.1 - 6.9 0.1 0.0 38 0.9
39 Maryland, Big Ten 3-2 6.0 - 6.0 0.0 0.0 39 5.1
40 Miss St, SEC 4-2 7.8 - 4.2 1.5 0.3 40 14.9
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
41 Missouri, SEC 3-2 7.1 - 4.9 0.6 0.0 41 10.9
42 Oregon, Pac-12 4-1 8.1 - 3.9 0.8 2.2 42 10.0
43 Cal, Pac-12 3-2 5.9 - 6.1 0.1 0.0 43 2.7
44 S Carolina, SEC 3-2 6.2 - 4.8 0.6 0.0 44 10.1
45 Minnesota, Big Ten 3-2 5.8 - 6.2 0.0 0.0 45 1.8
46 Wisconsin, Big Ten 4-1 8.7 - 3.9 0.4 15.0 46 15.2
47 Washington, Pac-12 5-1 10.4 - 2.4 19.2 59.3 47 19.1
48 Stanford, Pac-12 4-2 7.9 - 4.2 2.4 7.1 48 11.9
49 Arkansas, SEC 1-5 2.7 - 9.3 0.0 0.0 49 -4.3
50 Florida, SEC 5-1 9.3 - 2.8 1.5 2.1 50 15.9
51 Wake Forest, ACC 3-3 5.1 - 6.9 0.1 0.0 51 -1.4
52 Duke, ACC 4-1 8.1 - 3.9 0.2 0.4 52 9.8
53 Iowa, Big Ten 4-1 8.8 - 3.4 0.9 2.5 53 12.4
54 Utah, Pac-12 3-2 8.0 - 4.2 2.9 9.0 54 11.7
55 VT, ACC 3-2 7.1 - 4.3 1.2 6.8 55 9.7
56 USC, Pac-12 3-2 7.4 - 5.0 0.5 12.9 56 8.7
57 UNC, ACC 1-3 3.1 - 7.9 0.0 0.0 57 -4.3
58 Nebraska, Big Ten 0-5 2.5 - 9.5 0.0 0.0 58 -3.2
59 Northwestern, Big Ten 2-3 6.0 - 6.2 0.1 2.2 59 7.1
60 Kentucky, SEC 5-1 8.9 - 3.2 0.4 0.9 60 10.5
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
61 Syracuse, ACC 4-2 7.5 - 4.5 1.8 0.0 61 6.9
62 Navy, American 2-3 3.7 - 9.3 0.0 0.1 62 -10.0
63 UVA, ACC 3-2 6.3 - 5.7 0.0 0.1 63 2.0
64 Notre Dame, FBS Indep. 6-0 11.1 - 0.9 37.6 – 64 19.9
65 ECU, American 2-3 3.3 - 8.7 0.0 0.0 65 -15.9
66 Iowa State, Big 12 2-3 6.3 - 5.7 0.5 0.6 66 7.0
67 NC State, ACC 5-0 9.9 - 2.2 0.9 3.5 67 10.3
68 New Mexico, MW 3-2 5.2 - 6.8 0.0 0.1 68 -8.1
69 Hawai’i, MW 6-1 7.7 - 5.3 0.0 0.1 69 -11.6
70 USF, American 5-0 8.8 - 3.3 0.3 3.0 70 1.1
71 Temple, American 3-3 5.9 - 6.1 0.2 2.0 71 -1.3
72 San Jose State, MW 0-5 1.1 - 10.9 0.0 0.0 72 -18.1
73 Memphis, American 4-2 8.0 - 4.2 2.8 7.6 73 4.9
74 Colorado State, MW 2-4 3.4 - 8.6 0.0 0.0 74 -13.9
75 UNLV, MW 2-3 4.0 - 8.0 0.0 0.0 75 -12.3
76 Boise State, MW 3-2 8.9 - 3.5 12.9 22.5 76 10.4
77 UCF, American 5-0 10.2 - 1.5 15.9 47.3 77 9.4
78 SMU, American 2-4 3.9 - 8.1 0.0 0.1 78 -10.1
79 Air Force, MW 2-3 5.4 - 6.6 0.3 0.0 79 -4.1
80 Cincinnati, American 6-0 10.2 - 2.0 2.7 10.6 80 3.6
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
81 BYU, FBS Indep. 3-3 6.5 - 5.5 0.7 – 81 -1.6
82 Houston, American 4-1 9.3 - 3.3 3.4 27.0 82 4.0
83 Wyoming, MW 2-4 4.5 - 7.5 0.1 0.0 83 -8.5
84 Rice, C-USA 1-5 2.3 - 10.7 0.0 0.0 84 -24.2
85 Fresno State, MW 4-1 10.3 - 2.5 14.4 42.9 85 10.0
86 UTSA, C-USA 3-3 4.1 - 7.9 0.0 0.1 86 -17.3
87 Tulane, American 2-4 5.4 - 6.7 0.2 2.2 87 -4.1
88 N Illinois, MAC 3-3 6.3 - 6.0 0.8 17.0 88 -4.4
89 Ball State, MAC 2-4 4.0 - 8.0 0.0 0.2 89 -10.9
90 Charlotte, C-USA 2-3 3.2 - 8.8 0.0 0.0 90 -20.6
91 Tulsa, American 1-4 4.4 - 7.6 0.2 0.1 91 -7.1
92 Utah State, MW 4-1 10.0 - 2.6 9.8 29.1 92 7.6
93 Miami (OH), MAC 2-4 5.1 - 7.1 0.3 8.0 93 -7.2
94 UMass, FBS Indep. 2-5 4.2 - 7.8 0.0 – 94 -12.9
95 Nevada, MW 3-3 5.9 - 6.1 0.4 0.0 95 -8.4
96 San Diego State, MW 4-1 9.0 - 3.2 1.3 5.2 96 0.5
97 FAU, C-USA 3-3 6.4 - 5.7 1.1 1.7 97 -5.5
98 Liberty, FBS Indep. 2-3 5.3 - 6.7 0.0 – 98 -14.4
99 UAB, C-USA 4-1 8.4 - 4.0 0.3 21.5 99 -5.3
100 UConn, American 1-5 2.0 - 10.0 0.0 0.0 100 -22.9
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
101 Georgia State, Sun Belt 2-4 4.1 - 7.9 0.0 0.0 101 -16.2
102 Toledo, MAC 3-2 7.7 - 4.5 2.7 17.1 102 -2.1
103 Mid Tennessee, C-USA 3-2 7.4 - 5.1 0.4 19.6 103 -6.2
104 Cent Michigan, MAC 1-5 3.5 - 8.5 0.2 0.1 104 -11.8
105 Kent State, MAC 1-5 2.5 - 9.5 0.0 0.0 105 -18.2
106 Texas State, Sun Belt 1-4 2.2 - 9.8 0.0 0.0 106 -25.3
107 Ohio, MAC 3-2 7.0 - 5.3 0.4 9.5 107 -6.9
108 LA Tech, C-USA 3-2 7.4 - 4.7 0.4 6.1 108 -5.5
109 Louisiana, Sun Belt 2-3 5.0 - 7.2 0.0 1.1 109 -15.8
110 Troy, Sun Belt 5-1 9.1 - 3.1 2.3 9.8 110 -3.9
111 Akron, MAC 2-2 5.4 - 5.7 0.1 0.8 111 -10.4
112 Southern Miss, C-USA 2-2 5.9 - 5.2 0.3 3.5 112 -8.8
113 Bowling Green, MAC 1-5 2.4 - 9.6 0.0 0.0 113 -20.1
114 C. Carolina, Sun Belt 3-2 6.4 - 5.6 0.2 0.3 114 -11.3
115 W Michigan, MAC 4-2 8.2 - 4.2 4.9 23.9 115 -3.3
116 Buffalo, MAC 5-1 9.1 - 3.4 2.3 23.4 116 -5.1
117 E Michigan, MAC 2-4 5.8 - 6.2 5.3 0.0 117 -5.2
118 W Kentucky, C-USA 1-4 4.2 - 7.8 0.1 0.3 118 -13.1
119 Appalachian St, Sun Belt 3-1 9.7 - 2.0 32.1 59.5 119 7.1
120 Ga Southern, Sun Belt 4-1 8.9 - 3.3 3.3 11.4 120 -3.7
RK TEAM W-L PROJ W-L WIN OUT% CONF WIN% REM SOS RK FPI
121 Arkansas State, Sun Belt 3-2 8.2 - 4.6 1.8 17.6 121 -5.4
122 UTEP, C-USA 0-6 1.0 - 11.0 0.0 0.0 122 -25.2
123 Marshall, C-USA 3-2 7.1 - 4.0 4.8 3.8 123 -5.2
124 New Mexico St, FBS Indep. 2-4 4.0 - 8.0 0.0 – 124 -20.9
125 North Texas, C-USA 5-1 10.2 - 2.2 22.1 26.7 125 1.5
126 Old Dominion, C-USA 1-5 3.7 - 8.3 0.3 0.0 126 -16.1
127 UL Monroe, Sun Belt 2-4 4.3 - 7.7 0.0 0.2 127 -18.0
128 FIU, C-USA 3-2 8.0 - 4.3 3.6 16.8 128 -5.8
129 Army, FBS Indep. 3-2 8.7 - 3.3 20.4 – 129 -0.0
130 South Alabama, Sun Belt 1-5 3.3 - 8.7 0.0 0.1 130 -21.1
Far below 130 = McNeese St.
It may come as a supprise that out of 130 !A teams, with one of the toughest schedules in our history, we rank our schedule at #81.
Of the teams that we play, 7 teams that we play have a stronger SOS than we do.
5 teams have a weaker SOS than we do. Among those 5 weaker SOS teams, Utah State is included.
Just saying !!!1